Dr. Vincent Stamer

Senior Economist | Commerzbank AG

Dr. Vincent Stamer has been a senior economist in Commerzbank’s Economics Research Department since 2024. Among other things, he is responsible for the eurozone economy and international trade. From 2019 to 2023, Stamer was employed as a researcher at the Institute for the World Economy and earned his Ph.D. in 2023 with a dissertation on foreign trade policy. He studied economics at Brown University in the United States and at Ludwig Maximilian University in Munich. The magazine WirtschaftsWoche profiled him as one of Germany’s ten most exciting economists under the age of 40, and he is a sought-after guest on news programs and shows such as the talk show “Markus Lanz.”

16:00 - 16:45

Main Stage

Volatility as the New Normal: Inflation, Interest Rates, and Geopolitics Are Changing the Rules of the Global Economy

Welche Szenarien prägen 2027? Welche Folgen haben die US-Midterms 2026, wie ist der Verlauf des Ukraine-Kriegs und was geschieht in Nahost? Was bedeutet das für Energiepreise, Handel und Risiken? Wie reagieren Notenbanken? Die Session verdichtet komplexe Makrotreiber zu belastbaren Szenarien und einer „Watchlist“ an Frühindikatoren, damit Strategie- und Top-Entscheider Risiken früher erkennen und Entscheidungen zu Netzwerkdesign, Beschaffung und Absicherung robuster treffen können. Sie schafft zudem Orientierung, welche Faktoren aktuell wirklich preissetzend sind – und welche eher Noise.